Pageant Predictions


Think you know who'll take the crown? Get your crystal ball and prove it!

CONGRATULATIONS LONESTAR!!!

On Sunday, December 20, pageant history was made, as Steve Harvey incorrectly announced Miss Colombia as the new Miss Universe, correcting himself two minutes later and crowning the rightful winner, Pia Alonzo Wurtzbach. As a result, Pia became the third Miss Philippines to capture the coveted crown.

After the drama died down and we tallied the scores in our Pageant Predictions competition, we had a six-way tie for the top spot on our Miss Universe leaderboard. Balthazar, C, Husker Fan, inoshishi, Joaquin, and Lonestar had all earned 36 points. So we moved to our first tie-breaking criteria. But since none of them correctly predicted that Philippines would be named Miss Universe 2015, we were still deadlocked in a six-way tie. Thus, the tie was broken based on who had submitted his/her list earliest.

The fifth runner-up, then, is C, who was the 130th participant to submit. Fourth runner-up is Husker Fan, who was the 119th participant to submit. And our third runner-up is Balthazar, being the 70th participant to submit.

That left us with a top three of inoshishi, Joaquin, and Lonestar. As the 59th participant to submit, Joaquin took our second runner-up position, and inoshishi claimed the first runner-up spot, as the 41st participant to submit. And winning our 2015 Miss Universe predictions competition is Lonestar (Texas, USA), who was the 31st participant to submit his predictions.

Rounding out the top fifteen were Protégé, PlanB, Stylista Andreas, Claudio/RJ, Med94RN, Miss Understood, Leonard (Optimus Prime), and Holly, all of whom earned 35 points (with the top three correctly predicting a Filipino victory).

The most-predicted semifinalist to make the cut (for the second year in a row) was Miss USA, appearing on 153 lists, followed by France who appeared on 149 lists. Miss Philippines was on 148 lists, Colombia was on 144, Australia was on 142, Venezuela was on 131, Brazil was on 122, and Dominican Republic was on 111. Seventy-eight people correctly predicted Thailand would make the cut, while both Curacao and Japan were on 64 predictors’ lists. The biggest surprises in the semifinals were clearly Mexico (who appeared on 40 lists), Belgium (who was on 35 lists), Indonesia (who was on 20 lists), and South Africa (who was only on 17 predictors’ lists).

The most-predicted delegate to not make the semis was Vietnam, who was on 124 lists. Other popular delegates to not make the cut included: India (98 lists), Italy (79 lists), Russia (63 lists), Spain (58 lists), Paraguay (57 lists), Finland (49 lists), Denmark (48 lists), Georgia (47 lists), Peru (45 lists), Haiti (39 lists), Kosovo (37 lists), Ireland (36 lists), and Great Britain (34 lists).

Out of the 155 people who submitted their predictions for Miss Universe, only 18 correctly guessed that Philippines would take the crown: Cronut, HakiSak, Harley, Holly, IHP, kyboi, Leonard (Optimus Prime), Michelle, MiddleAmerica, Newby, onixana, Protégé, TeenQueen, Tlk2troy, tonyusb, TRTW, Valene Ewing, and WhyO.

Based on Pageant Predictions participants, the runaway winner was Miss USA, as an astonishing 43 predictors anticipated an American victory. Nineteen predictors thought Miss France would take the crown, and both Brazil and Dominican Republic had 11 participants foreseeing them being named the new Miss Universe. Nine participants expected Colombia to win the title, eight thought Vietnam would win the pageant, and six predicted the coronation of an Australian Miss Universe.

Lonestar’s winning list included: Australia, Brazil, Colombia, Curacao, Denmark, Dominican Republic, France, Great Britain, Italy, Japan, Philippines, Sweden, Thailand, USA, Venezuela, and Vietnam. While Lonestar incorrectly predicted that USA would win Miss Universe, he impressively predicted 11 of the top 15 semifinalists, including all of the top-ten finalists! It’s worth noting that this is the second time Lonestar has won the Miss Universe predictions competition, as he also topped the leaderboard in 2012.

As usual, I took the liberty of scoring the results of USB’s Mock Miss Universe competition. Collectively, USB would have earned a total of 34 points, tying for 16th place.

As the final MUO pageant of the season, these scores have been added to the ones from Miss USA and Miss Teen USA, completing the 2015 Predictor of the Year competition. To see who came out on top and claimed this year’s coveted title (not to mention a pretty impressive trophy and some serious bragging rights), hover over the PAST RESULTS tab, then hover over 2015, and click on 2015 FINAL RESULTS. Or visit: http://www.pageantpredictions.com/2015finalstandings.htm

Once again, thanks to all of you for participating. As always, I had an absolute blast orchestrating the competition, and I hope you all enjoyed it as well. I can’t wait to start all over again in 2016!

The results and rankings are posted below. Please stop and sign the guestbook by clicking the link in the navigation bar! And check us out on Facebook!

NICKNAME SCORE RANK
Lonestar 36 1
inoshishi 36 2
Joaquin 36 3
Balthazar 36 4
Husker Fan 36 5
C 36 6
Leonard (Optimus Prime) 35 7
Holly 35 8
Protégé 35 9
Andreas 35 10
Claudio/RJ 35 11
Med94RN 35 12
Miss Understood 35 13
PlanB 35 14
Stylista 35 15
TRTW 34 16
Chino Chen 34 17
UberClaire 34 18
sunny_air 34 19
PageantfanMA 34 20
MoNkayMaN 34 21
DrTod 34 22
Lady Ree 34 23
LindaS 34 24
NewYorkGuy 34 25
MSgal 34 26
Noelle 34 27
Tippy Top 34 28
Tlk2troy 33 29
onixana 33 30
TeenQueen 33 31
DCPageantDude 33 32
Rashid 33 33
Jess Nicole 33 34
stephaniemcgrane 33 35
Charming 33 36
Buckeye 33 37
MadeYaLook 33 38
Minnemania 33 39
Pikachu 33 40
OverOlivia 33 41
Baby Oil 33 42
Participant 33 43
Terrytorial 33 44
tonyusb 32 45
Harley 32 46
Michelle 32 47
IHP 32 48
HakiSak 32 49
Bia 32 50
Carlitos 32 51
Qban 32 52
PGMomma 32 53
Ciao500 32 54
Samuel 32 55
Tom 32 56
NovR 32 57
PageantPorsche 32 58
Duration & Convexity 32 59
GMAN 32 60
Athalia 32 61
Vech 32 62
Diannne 32 63
TheMaineEvent 32 64
TNBoy 32 65
HerbertBrasil 32 66
hamontsuji 32 67
GoldenBoy 32 68
Theo 32 69
Momentum 32 70
Recentnews 32 71
PMP 32 72
MissWorld 32 73
Hashtag Winning 32 74
Perfect Union 32 75
Watchmenow 32 76
Jana 32 77
Valene Ewing 31 78
S.xoxo 31 79
Salso. 31 80
Faust 31 81
Queen Kathleen 31 82
NeSoDak 31 83
Newby 30 84
Cronut 30 85
Lifelong Fan 30 86
queenie 30 87
sucker4silvergowns 30 88
RickyD 30 89
MiguelSD 30 90
Datmexican 30 91
gaj 30 92
Howard 30 93
Jake 30 94
AndjoSant 30 95
DUDA 30 96
!@#$%^&*() 30 97
Top&Bottom 30 98
ManChild 30 99
HasBeenQueenie 30 100
Groove 30 101
LatinBr 30 102
chileanboy 30 103
Mauri Severo 30 104
Annie_NH 30 105
Alternate 30 106
Xbrandon 30 107
Fadil 30 108
FrontRow 30 109
Eloise 30 110
Abel in Miami 29 111
NC Pageant Fan 29 112
Freud 29 113
SavetheSash 29 114
EuroChic 29 115
History Repeats 29 116
DataAlt 29 117
Vertically_Challenged 29 118
gina1988 29 119
CopyCat 29 120
MiddleAmerica 28 121
kyboi 28 122
Sergio3458 28 123
malu 28 124
hbq 28 125
Scotty 28 126
BigRedN 28 127
FashionRocks 27 128
Miss State Fair 27 129
ClickyRicky 26 130
DecadeDude 26 131
Amayo 26 132
I'DaHo 25 133
Culpo 25 134
posa2000 24 135
Lunch Lady 24 136
WhyO 23 137
WinLoseOrDraw 21 138
Faux Paws 21 139
littlelamb3 19 140
Jack 19 141
Maggie 19 142
Shoestring Style 19 143
GonnaWinThis 18 144
Gale Force 17 145
Daily Affirmation 16 146
ChickenDinner 16 147
NiaSanDiego 14 148
Random Man 14 149
Sultanica 12 150
Janieover 9 151
RecordSetter 9 152
BeckyT 8 153
ExDirector 6 154
Dragon 3 155