Pageant Predictions


Think you know who'll take the crown? Get your crystal ball and prove it!

CONGRATULATIONS DUDA!!!

On July 12, 2015, Olivia Jordan became Oklahoma’s very first Miss USA! An early front runner and third runner-up in USB’s Mock Miss USA judging, Olivia was the fifth most-predicted contestant to take the crown (behind Arizona, Rhode Island, Nevada, and Texas).

After the pageant ended, we tallied the scores to see who came out on top of our Miss USA predictions competition and currently leads our 2015 Predictor of the Year race.

Because of MUO’s decision to call 15 delegates into the semis (and a top 11 into the finals), every predictor’s odds increased, which led to a higher number of ties throughout the leaderboard. In fact, we had a three-way tie for first place … and only three points separate first place and 32nd place. To break those ties, we first looked to see if any participants correctly predicted that Oklahoma would win the crown. Next, we looked to see who had submitted their lists the soonest.

The top three scorers in our 2015 Miss USA predictions competition, each earning 37 points, are: “sunny_air” from California, “Harley” from Texas, and “DUDA” from Brazil! Since none of them correctly predicted that Olivia Jordan would take the crown, the entrant who submitted his/her list first rose to the top of the pack.

Our second runner-up is “Harley” who was the 81st person to submit predictions. And our first runner-up, who was the 76th person to submit is “sunny_air.”

That means the winner of our 2015 Miss USA predictions competition is “DUDA” who was the 65th person to submit. Duda correctly named 12 of the top 15 contestants, including nine of the top 11, and all five of the top-five finishers. Duda’s winning list included: Alaska, Arizona, California, Hawaii, Illinois, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Nevada, New York, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, and Texas.

The chart at the bottom of this page lists each entrant’s score and rank. Keep in mind that since Miss USA is the first of MUO’s three pageants for 2015, the scores earned are one-third of your cumulative score which will ultimately determine the Predictor of the Year! But if you didn’t hit the top of the leader board this time around, have no fear. Last year, Onixana finished 49th during Miss USA, but still managed to land at 3rd place overall! After all, only five points currently separates first place from 63rd, so it’s still anyone’s game!

It’s worth noting that “DrTod” was the most successful first-time participant in our 2015 Miss USA predictions competition, earning 36 points and finishing in 5th place. Was it beginners’ luck? Or will DrTod give DUDA some stiff competition in this year’s Predictor of the Year standings? We’ll just have to wait and find out.

Of the 485 registered participants, 163 submitted their predictions for Miss USA. The registered participants represent all 50 states, the District of Columbia, and more than 25 countries, including Greece, Brazil, Sweden, South Africa, Chile, the Bahamas, Puerto Rico, Hungary, Germany, Canada, Trinidad & Tobago, the United Kingdom, Japan, Switzerland, Saudi Arabia, Lithuania, New Zealand, Portugal, Belgium, India, Indonesia, Australia, Colombia, the Philippines, the Netherlands, and the United States.

Here is a run-down of how many participants had each of the top 15 contestants on their predictions lists:

Alabama (101), Arizona (130), Delaware (26), Hawaii (60), Illinois (81), Kentucky (87), Louisiana (65), Maryland (132), Michigan (103), Nevada (129), New York (66), Oklahoma (130), Rhode Island (123), Texas (130), Virginia (87).

While more than 100 predictors had Alabama, Arizona, Maryland, Michigan, Nevada, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, and Texas on their lists, only 26 participants correctly predicted that Renee Bull would finally break the Delaware Curse. The most popular delegates to NOT make the top 20 were: North Carolina (117), Georgia (106), California (95), Florida (94), Pennsylvania (75), South Carolina (73), Ohio (68), Colorado (67), Utah (62), and Massachusetts (60).

Thirteen people correctly predicted Oklahoma would take the crown. All told, 32 different delegates had at least one participant predicting they would win the title, which just goes to show that beauty is subjective! Among the most popular were Arizona (24), Rhode Island (17), Nevada (14), Texas (14), Georgia (9), Maryland (7), South Carolina (6), Florida (5), Illinois (5), and North Carolina (5). Furthermore, every single delegate was predicted by at least one participant to make the top 15 — a testament to the quality of the 2015 class.

Thanks again to all of you for participating! As always, I had an absolute blast orchestrating the competition, and I hope you all enjoyed it as well. Don’t forget, you have two more chances to earn points toward the 2015 Predictor of the Year title. Have fun, good luck, sign the guestbook, and follow Pageant Predictions on Facebook and Twitter (@PageantPredict)!

NICKNAME SCORE RANK
DUDA 37 1
sunny_air 37 2
Harley 37 3
DCPageantDude 36 4
Andreas 36 5
HerbertBr 36 6
Jake 36 7
DrTod 36 8
StephanieMcGrane 35 9
TRTW 35 10
sucker4silvergowns 35 11
CopyCat 35 12
BuckeyeBoy 35 13
Theo 35 14
Lady B 34 15
NovR 34 16
tonyusb 34 17
Posa2000 34 18
UberClaire 34 19
Scotty 34 20
Qban 34 21
Inoshishi 34 22
Fra 34 23
AndjoSant 34 24
babydiego 34 25
PageantFanMA 34 26
C 34 27
MSgal 34 28
Leonard 34 29
Top&Bottom 34 30
Cronut 34 31
Miss State Fair 34 32
Lifelong Fan 33 33
TxPageantFan 33 34
MadeYaLook 33 35
Lonestar 33 36
Michelle 33 37
NC GAL 33 38
Randall/Porsche 33 39
BalthazarToth 33 40
Duration & Convexity 33 41
Rosch 33 42
HuskerFan 33 43
mopageantgirl 33 44
GoldenBoy 33 45
Random Man 33 46
Terrytorial 33 47
Shoestring Style 33 48
M   32 49
LEE 32 50
Freud 32 51
LadyRee 32 52
Vech 32 53
DudeInSouthAfrica/Zero Defect 32 54
NUdoc13 32 55
Marcum74 32 56
SanFranGuy 32 57
MoNkayMaN 32 58
Valene Ewing 32 59
Ian Sebastin 32 60
TNBoy 32 61
Recentnews 32 62
PMP 32 63
Salso 31 64
S.xoxo 31 65
MiguelSD 31 66
LifelongPageantLover 31 67
raffyob/rvsm 31 68
Fadil 31 69
Faux Paws 31 70
NeSoDak 31 71
Samuel 31 72
HasBeenQueenie 31 73
gaj 31 74
Noelle 31 75
Gale Force 31 76
Lunch Lady 31 77
ChickenDinner 30 78
FrontRow 30 79
Minnemania 30 80
Athalia 30 81
Doot 30 82
Aiden* 30 83
daisydayz 30 84
texas917 29 85
Marylander 29 86
TxDay 29 87
[email protected]#$%^&*() 29 88
Howard 29 89
New York Guy 29 90
Joaquin1962 29 91
Onixana 29 92
Sultanica 29 93
Faust 29 94
Momentum 29 95
Miss Understood 28 96
Ciao500 28 97
hamontsuji 28 98
PlanB 28 99
Jack 27 100
Maggie 27 101
Pageantnut 27 102
WinLoseOrDraw 27 103
Tippy Top 27 104
kyboi 26 105
SoSayI 26 106
NCPageantFan 26 107
I heart Pageants/IHP 26 108
dessertdeb 26 109
Xbrandon 26 110
Plus queen 25 111
azhairguy 25 112
NiaSanDiego 25 113
PGMomma 24 114
BeckyT 24 115
Tlk2troy 24 116
Ugnis 24 117
DecadeDude 24 118
SavetheSash 24 119
Newby 24 120
MiddleAmerica 23 121
RickyD 23 122
TheMaineEvent 23 123
Participant 23 124
History Repeats 23 125
Baby Oil 23 126
Perfect Union 23 127
GonnaWinThis 23 128
hope714 22 129
ClickyRicky 22 130
TeenQueen 22 131
Protégé 22 132
Irisrose 21 133
tinabean 21 134
Pikachu 21 135
Queen Kathleen 21 136
ExDirector 21 137
OverOlivia 20 138
Annie_NH 20 139
Guiltypleasure 20 140
Diannne 20 141
Dragon 19 142
malu 19 143
Tom 19 144
GMAN 19 145
BigRedN 18 146
Culpo 18 147
DataAlt 18 148
ManChild 18 149
BeckyLeeman 18 150
Hooked 18 151
WhyO 18 152
MissWorld 18 153
Daily Affirmation 18 154
RecordSetter 17 155
Hashtag Winning 17 156
Watchmenow 17 157
Stylista  17 158
HakiSak 15 159
EuroChic 14 160
I'DaHo 10 161
Alternate 7 162
FashionRocks 7 163